Tuesday, March 5

Will Digital War Be Alternative To Nuclear War?

Countries with nuclear weapons and those without nuclear weapons is how the world is classified now. Not by size of the army but the size of the nuclear arsenal. I wonder if we will  even know who has how much nuclear capability and which country is just bluffing about their nuclear capability. I seriously doubt our neighbor country when they claim to have a nuclear weapon. A country could not manufacture a single motorcycle in 70yrs claims to have built a nuclear weapon sounds hollow .Hell  I would claim I have couple of nuclear weapons in my garage!

We are living in a connected world.
  • Everything talks to everything - Man talk to machine, machine talk to machine, machine talk to data
  • Evert action is an event, all events are being recorded & stored in a connected databases
  • Events can be analyzed in real time and valuable actionable insights can be extracted 
  • AI is being used to teach machines WHAT we could not have programmed otherwise
  • Programming a drone or a car was an impossibility but AI has made it possible today
  • Defense industry has been in the fore front to embrace revolutionary technologies like AI 
  • A war in 2020 is going to be much different from the past wars
  • Operation Neptune Spear that eliminated Osama - identify, eliminate & retreat was a mere glimpse of gadgets of modern war fare that leveraged data analytics & AI
  • Real time AI (Artificial Intelligence) Driven War will be the new Nuclear.
  • Digital War will be fought on land, air and water so an integrated defense force command will be required on the lines of Chief of Defense

In short Satellite imagery, Sensor devices, Internet, Massive Parallel Processing, Video & Predictive Analytics, Natural Language Processing, Big Data & AI are real and everything under the sun is under the scanner.How do these technology advances impact modern warfare?
  1. Satellites can have your entire country covered and create huge amount of information every second. 
  2. The new generation instrumentation and information technology are able to process data at 10X speed
  3. Analytics software are processing data and predicting events in real time with high precision
  4. Artificial Intelligence is making machines capable of performing intelligent tasks like human beings
  5. NLP is enabling machine understand and learn languages like a human by observing human interaction
  6. AI & ML solutions are really working. Their error rate is lower than that of trained  humans
Now visualize a war zone scenario and apply these technologies to build solution for warfare
  1. Any object that moves is being observed by the satellites, radars and sensors
  2. Visualize an octagonal central war room is showing satellite feeds from 8 borders on 8 walls
  3. Satellite feed is being analyzed in real time (on the fly) and analysis is being projected on screens
  4. 8 different teams of Indian Army Command are monitoring 8 screens displaying activity on borders
  5. Every movement of enemy is captured and analyzed in real time
  6. 1st movement of enemy is being matched with potential Enemy Strategy and helpful alerts are flashed on the Indian Army Command room screens.
  7. Even before enemy can make the 2nd move Predictive Analysis is predicting  the potential next move of the enemy
  8. A self learning supercomputer , let's call it 'Supercomputer Maneckshaw' is matching event patterns with 'Strategy Database', predicting next strategic move of enemy & projecting actionable inputs on the screen
  9. By the time the enemy completes its 2nd move Indian Army, Navy & Air-force have taken positions and Army Command Center issues instructions for counter move to Army/Navy/Air-force based on suggestion by  Supercomputer Maneckshaw
  10. By the time the enemy makes a 3rd move Army Command Center has identified the compete Enemy Strategy & suggestion counter strategy for Indian forces to the Chief of Defense of Armed forces by sending a notification on their mobile devices
  11. Chief of Defense views action suggested by Supercomputer Maneckshaw, conducts a secured online conference with 3 chiefs & gives orders. 
  12. Humans soldiers have unlimited memory but limited RAM but super computer has found references of identified enemy strategy to a war strategy from 1939 (German Invasion of Poland)
  13. Supercomputer Maneckshaw can map events, identify potential strategies but it still takes a human to read the mind of current Pakistani general. So final decision rests with the 3 chiefs and the supreme commander
In summary AI Warfare or 'Real Time AI Warfare' as I call it
  • The AI Warfare will be 95% super computer intelligence and 5% human intelligence. 
  • The AI warfare will be definitive than Nuclear War because we will be able to read the mind of enemy in real time as the enemy makes its moves and as the enemy changes its mind.
  • AI warfare will be cost effective because the resources would be used optimally and deployment would be managed in real time.
  • AI warfare will always be preemptive because it will be driven by predictive intelligence driven by all the past wars that have been fought in the world history and it will be unpredictive because the super computer system will evolve continuously!



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