Thursday, January 29

# India's Late AI Entry: A Strategic Win?

India's delayed dive into the AI race isn't a setback—it's a smart move. By learning from Western pitfalls like massive energy costs and regulatory gaps, India can build cost-effective, inclusive AI tailored to its needs, as highlighted in recent Economic Survey discussions.[11]

## Core Post Review
The post "India's Late AI Entry: Advantageous, Learning from Western Mistakes, Cost-Effective" captures the Economic Survey 2025-26's key thesis: late movers avoid the "hyperscale" traps of US giants, opting for efficient, sector-specific models in healthcare, agriculture, and finance.[12][11] It stresses using India's talent pool and domestic data for bottom-up innovation, dodging expensive GPU dependencies and fragile global supply chains.[13][14] Read the full Economic Survey chapter here: [https://www.indiabudget.gov.in/economicsurvey/doc/eschapter/echap14.pdf](https://www.indiabudget.gov.in/economicsurvey/doc/eschapter/echap14.pdf).[3]

## Strengths and Insights
- **Hindsight Edge**: Western AI's rapid scaling led to energy crises and job displacement risks; India can prioritize safety and jobs from day one.[15]
- **Resource Smarts**: Smaller models on local hardware cut costs, echoing successes like UPI over flashy global alternatives.[14]
- **Inclusive Focus**: Ties AI to public goals, leveraging 1.4 billion people's data for real-world apps without elite capture.[16]

## Potential Gaps
While optimistic, the post underplays challenges like GPU shortages and talent exodus to Silicon Valley.[1] Success demands urgent policy—subsidized compute, open-source mandates, and school-level AI training—to turn theory into reality.[2]

## My Takeaway
This narrative is spot-on for emerging markets: lateness breeds prudence. India's path could redefine AI as a public good, not just a tech arms race. Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman's survey tabling on Jan 29, 2026, makes it timely—act now or lose the window.[4]

Citations:
[1] Economic Survey 2025-26 flags the need for India's own AI ... https://www.caalley.com/news-updates/budget-2026/economic-survey-2025-26-flags-the-need-for-indias-own-ai-solutions
[2] economic survey https://www.pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=2219975
[3] EVOLUTION OF THE AI ECOSYSTEM IN INDIA https://www.indiabudget.gov.in/economicsurvey/doc/eschapter/echap14.pdf
[4] Economic Survey 2025-26 https://www.pib.gov.in/economicsurvey/2026/en/index.aspx?reg=3&lang=2
[5] Economic Survey https://www.indiabudget.gov.in/economicsurvey/
[6] PART-I https://www.indiabudget.gov.in/economicsurvey/doc/eschapter/echap16-1.pdf
[7] The Economic Survey 2025–26 has warned that a worst ... https://www.facebook.com/guwahatiplus/posts/news-the-economic-survey-202526-has-warned-that-a-worst-case-global-crisis-trigg/1345070394322942/
[8] PART-II https://www.indiabudget.gov.in/economicsurvey/doc/eschapter/echap16-2.pdf
[9] Economic Survey 2025-26 Summary | UPSC GS3 Economy https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bdBEnFmFZ0A
[10] Economic Survey 2026: Highlights, Summary, PDF ... https://cleartax.in/s/economic-survey-2026
[11] National Strategy for Artificial Intelligence https://www.niti.gov.in/sites/default/files/2023-03/National-Strategy-for-Artificial-Intelligence.pdf
[12] Late entry an edge India can chase inclusive resource ... https://www.theweek.in/wire-updates/business/2026/01/29/late-entry-an-edge-india-can-chase-inclusive-resource-efficient-ai-path-eco-survey.html
[13] India has late-mover advantage in AI, should use it https://www.forbesindia.com/article/budget-2026/india-has-late-mover-advantage-in-ai-should-use-it-economic-survey/2990810/1
[14] Late entry an edge, India can chase inclusive, resource- ... https://www.ptinews.com/story/business/late-entry-an-edge-india-can-chase-inclusive-resource-efficient-ai-path-eco-survey/3322778
[15] India's Late Entry into AI: A Strategic Advantage | Technology https://www.devdiscourse.com/article/technology/3785550-indias-late-entry-into-ai-a-strategic-advantage
[16] India's AI Strategy Focuses on Inclusion, Jobs, and Open- ... https://indianmasterminds.com/news/india-ai-strategy-economic-survey-inclusion-jobs-open-source-180867/

Tuesday, January 20

AI for Public Good and Governance - AI Strategy for Maharashtra State

From Vision to Execution in Citizen Services, Law Enforcement, and Cybersecurity

Artificial Intelligence is often framed as a productivity tool or an economic accelerator. For governments, however, AI represents something more fundamental: a governance capability. When designed and implemented well, AI can reduce friction in public services, strengthen public safety, and protect trust in digital systems. When implemented poorly, it risks fragmentation, opacity, and institutional resistance.

The challenge before governments today is no longer experimentation. It is institutionalization — embedding AI into existing administrative systems while respecting legal, financial, audit, and legacy constraints that define public administration.

As an experienced IT Strategist and hands on Technology Architect I  have been following projects and vision of Maharashtra Chief Minister Devendra Fadnavis. For the first time a chief minister is giving a vision that people from Indian IT industry want to manifest. My post outlines an implementation‑ready approach to AI for public good, focusing on three critical domains: citizen services, law enforcement, and cybersecurity.


1. Citizen Services: From Portals to Life‑Event–Driven Outcomes

Most governments have digitised services, yet citizens continue to experience delays, repeated document submissions, and unclear status updates. This is not a technology gap but a decision‑flow gap.

Strategic Enhancement

AI systems should be designed around life events (birth, education, employment, property, retirement) rather than individual departmental services.

Why This Is Implementable

Life‑event orchestration does not require departmental restructuring. It works across existing departments by coordinating workflows and data, making it administratively feasible.

Ajay's Execution Explanation

AI can:

  • Detect when a life event triggers multiple entitlements

  • Proactively initiate downstream services

  • Flag missing prerequisites early

Success should be measured not by portal launches, but by reduced citizen follow‑ups and faster resolution timelines.


2. Law Enforcement: Clear Separation Between Decision Support and Authority

AI offers law enforcement the ability to move from reactive policing to preventive intelligence, identifying patterns that are invisible at human scale.

Strategic Enhancement

Formally separate AI‑assisted decision support from human decision‑making authority.

Why This Is Implementable

Clear boundaries address concerns related to judicial scrutiny, misuse allegations, and civil liberties, making adoption acceptable to police leadership and the Home Department.

Ajay's Execution Explanation

AI should:

  • Prioritize cases

  • Surface patterns and probabilities

  • Reduce investigation time

AI must never issue arrests, conclusions, or operational orders. Accountability remains human, auditable, and legally defensible.


3. Cybersecurity: From Incident Response to State Digital Trust Framework

As governance and finance digitize, cyber risk becomes systemic risk. Cybersecurity is no longer an IT issue; it is economic and institutional infrastructure.

Strategic Enhancement

Establish a State Digital Trust Framework that coordinates cybersecurity across IT, Home, Finance, regulators, banks, and service providers.

Why This Is Implementable

A framework aligns stakeholders without centralizing power, respecting existing departmental mandates.

Ajay's Execution Explanation

The framework should define:

  • Risk classification and escalation paths

  • Real‑time inter‑agency coordination

  • Citizen communication protocols during incidents

AI becomes the immune system of the digital state, operating continuously rather than reactively.


4. Integration: Build a Shared Government Integration Backbone

Most public AI failures occur not at the model level, but at the integration layer — where systems, data, and vendors collide.

Strategic Enhancement

Create a shared government integration backbone comprising APIs, event streams, and data‑exchange standards.

Why This Is Implementable

Departments retain autonomy while avoiding duplicated integration investments and vendor lock‑in.

Ajay's Execution Explanation

This backbone functions as a public utility. Departments choose how to use it, but no longer need to rebuild integration from scratch for each initiative.


5. Data Governance: Establish Authoritative Data Ownership

AI quality depends more on data authority than data volume.

Strategic Enhancement

Assign single‑department ownership for each core dataset.

Why This Is Implementable

Clear ownership reduces inter‑department disputes and decision paralysis.

Ajay's Execution Explanation

Each authoritative dataset must have:

  • A designated owner

  • Update responsibility

  • Legal and audit accountability

This ensures consistent, trusted AI outputs.


6. Vendor Strategy: Adopt Vendor‑Neutral Reference Architectures

Uncontrolled vendor diversity increases cost, risk, and audit exposure.

Strategic Enhancement

Issue state‑owned reference architectures for AI and digital platforms.

Why This Is Implementable

Reference architectures protect officers from audit objections and reduce procurement risk while preserving competition.

Ajay's Execution Explanation

Vendors innovate within defined boundaries rather than redefining the system each time.


7. Capability Building: Focus on AI Literacy, Not Coding

Public officers do not need to become technologists.

Strategic Enhancement

Build AI literacy across leadership and operational roles.

Why This Is Implementable

Literacy empowers officers without threatening existing roles or hierarchies.

Ajay's Execution Explanation

AI literacy includes:

  • Understanding limitations and bias

  • Interpreting outputs

  • Knowing when escalation is required


8. Measurement: Anchor Success to Administrative Pain Reduction

Strategic Enhancement

Measure AI success using existing administrative metrics.

Why This Is Implementable

These metrics are already tracked and politically safe.

Ajay's Execution Explanation

Key indicators include:

  • Reduction in file movement

  • Reduction in grievance pendency

  • Reduction in audit objections

  • Reduction in litigation


9. Governance Model: Create a Technology Strategy & Architecture Cell

Strategic Enhancement

Establish a small, cross‑department Technology Strategy & Architecture Cell reporting to senior leadership.

Why This Is Implementable

A compact advisory body avoids resistance while enabling coordination.

Ajay's Execution Explanation

The cell defines standards, reviews major programs, and preserves long‑term coherence without executing projects itself.


10. Conclusion: AI as a Civic Capability

The future of AI in governance will not be defined by the number of pilots launched, but by the coherence of execution. Governments that succeed will treat AI as long‑term public infrastructure — designed with empathy for administrative realities and discipline in architecture.

When AI works for the public good, it becomes invisible. What citizens notice instead is speed, fairness, and trust. That invisibility is not a failure of innovation; it is proof of institutional maturity. 

 

Thursday, January 1

Top 5 Industries for Growth in the Information Technology Market in 2026

 

As a technology architect and strategist with 30 years of experience in technology consulting and strategy—having advised Fortune 500 companies on everything from mainframe migrations in the 1990s to AI-driven transformations today—I've seen the IT landscape evolve dramatically. In 2026, the global information technology (IT) market is poised for robust expansion, projected to exceed $5 trillion in spending, driven by advancements in AI, cloud computing, cybersecurity, and edge technologies. This growth isn't uniform; certain industries are accelerating faster due to digital imperatives, while others are funneling massive investments into IT to stay competitive. 
 
In this blog post, I'll talk about the top 5 industries set to experience the most significant growth in the IT market (i.e., where IT adoption is fueling sector-specific expansion) and the top 5 likely to make the largest IT investments in 2026. I'll cover both global and Indian scenarios, drawing on the latest data through late 2025, and discuss necessary government policy shifts to sustain this momentum. 
To visualize the global IT services market trajectory, here's a chart showing projected CAGR growth rates by region from 2026 to 2031:
 

 

Global Scenario: Top 5 Industries for IT Market Growth in 2026Globally, the IT market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 7-10% in 2026, with key drivers including AI integration, data analytics, and sustainable tech. The following industries will see the most pronounced IT-fueled growth, as they leverage technology to innovate, optimize, and scale:
  1. Healthcare and Life Sciences: Digital health tools, AI-driven diagnostics, telehealth, and biotech analytics will propel this sector. Growth is forecasted at 15-20% CAGR, with IT enabling personalized medicine and efficient supply chains.
  2. Financial Services (FinTech and Banking): Blockchain, AI for fraud detection, and digital banking will drive expansion. The sector's IT market is set to grow by 12-15%, fueled by regulatory tech (RegTech) and open banking.
  3. Telecommunications: 5G/6G rollout, edge computing, and IoT integration will boost growth at 10-14% CAGR, as telecoms become enablers of smart cities and connected devices.
  4. Manufacturing and Industrials: Industry 4.0 technologies like AI, robotics, and predictive maintenance will accelerate growth by 8-12%, enhancing efficiency in supply chains and smart factories.
  5. Retail and E-commerce: AI-powered personalization, AR/VR shopping, and omnichannel platforms will drive 10-15% IT market growth, responding to consumer demands for seamless digital experiences.
Indian Scenario: Top 5 Industries for IT Market Growth in 2026In India, the IT sector is projected to contribute 10% to GDP, with overall IT spending reaching $176 billion in 2026—a 10.6% increase from 2025—and the industry targeting $350 billion in market size. Domestic growth mirrors global trends but emphasizes AI services, with a sharp recovery to 7.7% in FY27. Key industries:
  1. Healthcare: AI in telemedicine and health data analytics, growing at 15-20% amid India's push for universal health coverage.
  2. Financial Services: Digital payments, fintech innovations like UPI expansions, with 12-15% growth.
  3. Telecom: 5G adoption and rural connectivity, at 10-14% CAGR.
  4. Manufacturing: 'Make in India' initiatives integrating smart manufacturing, 8-12% growth.
  5. E-commerce/Retail: Booming online markets, AI-driven logistics, 10-15% expansion. 
 
Global Scenario: Top 5 Industries Likely to Make the Biggest IT Investments in 2026Investments in IT will surge as industries digitize to compete. Global IT spending is expected to hit $5.1 trillion, with heavy focus on AI and cloud. The top investors:
  1. Financial Services: Massive outlays on cybersecurity and AI (estimated $300-400 billion globally), to combat fraud and enhance customer experiences.
  2. Healthcare: Investments in EHR systems, AI diagnostics, and data security, topping $250 billion.
  3. Manufacturing/Industrials: $200-300 billion on IoT, automation, and supply chain tech.
  4. Energy and Utilities (including Renewables): Focus on smart grids and clean tech, with investments around $150-200 billion.
  5. Retail: E-commerce giants pouring $100-150 billion into AI personalization and logistics tech.
Indian Scenario: Top 5 Industries Likely to Make the Biggest IT Investments in 2026India's IT investments will align with global patterns but prioritize exports and domestic digitalization, with BFSI and manufacturing leading. Top sectors:
  1. Financial Services: Heavy spending on fintech and digital banking.
  2. Healthcare: Investments in health tech amid Ayushman Bharat expansions.
  3. Manufacturing: PLI schemes driving smart factory investments.
  4. Telecom: 5G infrastructure rollouts.
  5. E-commerce: Logistics and AI for consumer tech.
How Governments Must Adapt Policies to Enable New GrowthTo harness this IT-driven growth, governments worldwide—and in India—must evolve policies. Globally, challenges like U.S.-China tech tensions and AI ethics require:
  • Harmonized AI Regulations: Shift from fragmented state-level rules to national frameworks, as seen in U.S. calls for AI oversight and EU harmonization, to avoid stifling innovation.
  • Cybersecurity Mandates: Voluntary risk-based approaches and unified incident reporting to protect critical infrastructure.
  • Infrastructure Investments: Policies for data centers, broadband, and digital literacy to support AI and cloud growth.
Suggestions to Indian government are follows:
  • Strengthening data privacy laws (beyond DPDP Act) to build trust.
  • Incentivizing AI R&D through tax breaks and skill programs, targeting 1 million AI jobs by 2026.
  • Promoting public-private partnerships for 5G and rural connectivity. 
  • In over 3 decades, I've learned that foresight in strategy separates leaders from laggards. 2026 will reward those who invest wisely in IT—let's connect if you're charting your path.
     

# India's Late AI Entry: A Strategic Win?

India's delayed dive into the AI race isn't a setback—it's a smart move. By learning from Western pitfalls like massive energy c...