Showing posts with label virus. Show all posts
Showing posts with label virus. Show all posts

Thursday, April 9

Managing Covid Lockdown - Top-Down & Bottom-Up Strategy to revive industry & reboot economy

Dear #Indian Government,
Lockdown was essential measure to stop #coronavirus from spreading while we decided a strategy to combat it. But #Lockdown is not a solution & we can't #Lockdown the country for ever. If the farmers don't do farming & industry doesn't manufacture we will be out of essential commodities very soon and that will be even bigger problem than #corona.Govt should immediately publish the plan for  Incremental             UNLOCKDOWN as I call it so that States, Cities & Gram Panchayats can start preparing to implement the plan. As a executive I feel the lock-down announcement was unplanned, it forced each state to do a Unplanned Lockdown without creating a plan  (or defy Modi which no one wanted to do) & without any guidance from central government.
                         Our government is spending more money than ever to provide food & healthcare for needy people but #Revenue collection has become zero and soon government will be out of money. So unless we help STOP #CoronaVirus from spreading and unless industry starts working again and government gets its revenue #India will be in a big problem in few months.So I request all citizen of #India to please #StayHomeStaySafe , help our country to #Stop Corona from spreading , help #India to get our economy back in shape and that can only happen when industry/farmers/workers start working again.

In next few slides & text I am going to explain 4 key goals and then  explain my strategy to solve the problem
  1. We need #Lockdown so people do not transmit virus & we stop corona virus from spreading
  2. We have Limited Stock of grocery,medicine & consumables so we need farmers & industry to start working again   
  3. We need a strategy to remove #Lockdown In Stages & need to start Removing #Lockdown
  4. We cannot have One Plan for entire India -  We need 2 plans, one for the cities that are  infected by corona and 2nd for non-infected cities.
    1. For Infected Cities we need a plan to Cure people & get Cities back to normal.
    2. For Non-Infected Cities we need a plan to Protect City & Start industry & farming
    3. We need to revive economy before it collapses further
    4. We need to provide work & income particularly to the Poor who have no savings

Please note this is a high level plan to explain the  strategy and for implementation a more detailed plan has to be created to take care of all aspect of governance including points like
  • How to cure people infected people? 
  • How to prevent new infections ?
  • How to identify non symptomatic carrier's of corona?
  • How we will do more efficient testing with minimum kits ?
  • How to protect out healthcare worker and police from infection 
  • How to use Data to prevent new infection?
  • How to use Data to identify 'who is getting killed by Corona' and 'who are all immune to Corona'? 
  • How to use Data to find why infection is higher in some geography and less in others ?
and many more aspects which are kept out of this high level slides.

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Happy to answer any questions or correct any mistakes in my strategy. This is just one strategy, there could be other strategies but what is important is to have some strategy along with a risk mitigation plan and then discussion with stakeholders before we finalize a plan for India. My appeal to government of India is to work with a plan because so far they seem to b working on gut feeling and without any idea of what is planning. I hope better sense will prevail and there are thousands of voulenteers who are ready to leave their job and work for India if it can help save few lives. Jai Hind Jai Bharat.

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